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    Coming soon: More attacks on critical infrastructure?

    Lauri Almann

    Estonia's Undersecretary of Defence, was part of the response team faced with the challenge of defending against the attacks. In the year that has passed, much has been learned by Almann and others about the nature of the attacks. Almann was in Washington recently to discuss those lessons'and what needs to be done to guard against future attacks.

    Secure Computing's third-quarter Internet Threat Report
    predicts that 2009 will see an increase in politically motivated
    attacks such as those experienced already in Estonia and Georgia
    (the nation, not the state).


    However, for the time being, the surreptitious theft of data
    from information technology systems, as Chinese hackers are alleged
    to have done in this country, is likely to remain a more serious
    threat.


    Cyber attacks against infrastructure haven't risen to the
    level of real warfare or terrorism. Although the Estonian attacks,
    suspected of having been carried out by Russian partisans in a
    dispute between the nations, interfered with some online commerce,
    denial-of-service attacks seldom have more than nuisance value in
    disrupting some one-way communications from Web sites.


    Studies indicate that the wholesale disruption of systems is
    more difficult than often thought, and as systems become more
    diverse, interconnected and complex, bringing them down only
    becomes more difficult.


    For the foreseeable future, Internet warfare is likely to remain
    the domain of spooks operating under the radar rather than cyber
    attackers carpet-bombing our infrastructure.

    About the Author

    William Jackson is a senior writer for GCN.

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