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Greece forecasts stronger 2026 growth alongside continued debt reduction

by Edwin O.
October 27, 2025
in Finance
Greece forecasts

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Athens is humming with optimism as economists increasingly showcase a rosy picture of the economic future of the country. Having survived decades of tight austerity and foreign bailouts, Greece is currently in its best shape ever, forecasting higher growth while in fact paying off debt. It is virtually impossible to recognize that this is the same country that narrowly escaped being ejected from the euro currency zone.

The Greek economy is extremely resilient in the face of the European slowdown

The Greek government is expecting the economy to expand by 2.4% next year, and this does not sound so bad either, with the European economic giants being at our knees presently. The forecast is coming thwith rough more investments and humans actually spending money again- something that seemed impossible during the crisis years.

It is fascinating to note how Greece was forced to lower its 2025 estimate by 2.3 to 2.2 percent because the relatively sluggish European economy of the current times did not allow it to increase as much. Foreign tourism and foreign investment have been the key driving forces, although even those sectors appear to be in distress at the moment of writing, neither are the neighboring nations doing well. But to post this so much higher than the European average is a testament to the achievements of a country that was written off ten years ago.

Economic momentum continues, with the economy assisted by tourism and investment. Greece has been wise not to rely on sun-and-sand tourism alone but on major investment in renewable energy projects, and digital infrastructure that creates jobs throughout the year and not only onin ce a year summer.

IMF approved Greece’s debt plan

This is what makes this about so much, about what Greece is about to eliminate, while most other countries are drowning in post-pandemic debt. This year’s total budget is approximately even, and there is a very small deficit of only 0.8 Tor cent. To be felt until 2026. That is virtual rounding off compared to what the rest of European countries are put through.

The government spending is held in check to allow growth to happen

The government’s revenue will hit 50 percent of GDP in the year 2026 and stabilize at 46.8 percent in the year 2030, whereas the expenditure will hit 50.8 percent in the year 2026 and drop to 48.2 percent- the true fiscal conservatism during boom times.

Greece is walking alone against the tide of global debt. The rest of the world is going in the opposite direction, while Greece is still cutting its debt peak. World debt will be 100 percent of world GDP in 2029–the worst since 1948, the IMF is estimating. That is even more generous considering Greece’s record. This is a story of turnaround that has proved that with good policies and political will, it is indeed possible for nations to climb out of a massive debt.

Greece received more than one bailout in less than a decade

Greece received more than one bailout in less than a decade, when it was running budget surpluses. Most economists thought that this kind of miracle was never going to be achieved without incinerating the economy. But look at us now, with Greece outpacing Germany or France and actually repaying debt. It is the kind of dream that stories of other countries struggling with the same issue can inspire with a positive attitude.

The figures are a remarkable tale of reversal. From Europe’s largest economic heaac, to now a fiscal model of restraint—that does not happen frequently. Greece has demonstrated that even the most painful debt crises can be turned around with collective effort and judicious policy decisions. The government’s revenue will hit 50 percent of GDP in the year 2026 and stabilize at 46.8 percent in the year 2030, whereas the expenditure will hit 50.8 percent in the year 2026 and drop to 48.2 percent- the true fiscal conservatism during boom times.

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